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  1. 学術雑誌論文

生命科学の事業化へのタイミングオプションの応用(<特集>生命科学の事業化)

https://repo.lib.tut.ac.jp/records/1076
https://repo.lib.tut.ac.jp/records/1076
9bcfd583-e2b0-4d7c-a7ec-586cd9a43012
名前 / ファイル ライセンス アクション
k09147020-0023-351.pdf k09147020-0023-351 (1.3 MB)
license.icon
Item type 学術雑誌論文 / Journal Article(1)
公開日 2013-01-31
タイトル
タイトル 生命科学の事業化へのタイミングオプションの応用(<特集>生命科学の事業化)
タイトル
言語 en
タイトル Application of Timing Option to Commercialization of Life Science(<SPECIAL REPORT>COMMERCIALIZATION OF LIFE SCIENCE)
言語
言語 jpn
資源タイプ
資源タイプ journal article
著者 藤原, 孝男

× 藤原, 孝男

WEKO 2004
NRID 1000070173490
e-Rad 70173490

藤原, 孝男

Search repository
FUJIWARA, Takao

× FUJIWARA, Takao

WEKO 2005

en FUJIWARA, Takao

Search repository
抄録
内容記述タイプ Abstract
内容記述 About a quarter of recent new approved medicines are biopharmaceuticals. The increase of this ratio is expected in the future. Large pharmaceutical companies are making more R & D resources concentrate on clinical development rather than basic research, while the weight of basic research investment to life science is very high by the governments of Japan, the U.S.A., and Western Europe. In the meantime, the drug-discovery biotech start-ups are expected to fill this gap by more rapid commercialization than large pharmaceutical companies. But start-ups' bankruptcy rates are very high from resources limitation. Why, as first of research questions, can there be a lot of deficit biotech start-ups in biotech clusters as San Francisco bay area, even if the basic premise is the scrap and build? Why is it basically possible to repeatedly invest the irreversible and huge amount of sunk cost and time in the long term and high risky projects? Otherwise, why is there relatively a less number of biotech start-ups in Japan than in the U.S.A. where a more large number of companies are continuously founded, even the majority are deficits? In addition, can Japan transplant it into the country, if the U.S.A. model of biotech start-up has an economic rationality for a breakthrough? As a methodology, the timing option is focused on as an option to defer investing until the uncertainty declines, among the real options expected for its evaluation function on the economic validity of an innovative, promising, but high risky project. Thus, in this article, we examine the relationship between the symbiotic modeling of biotech start-ups and the useful possibility of real options, the application of real options to a process as the proof of concept, a basic model of the timing option enabling intermittent investment decisions to new projects, and the characteristics and functions of each model under the deterministic and stochastic models of underlying assets. In particular, the optimal timing was forecasted by simulation, when the behavior of the underlying assets was modeled by the stochastic theory.
内容記述
内容記述タイプ Other
内容記述 rights: 研究・技術計画学会
rights: 本文データは学協会の許諾に基づきCiNiiから複製したものである
relation:isVersionOf: http://ci.nii.ac.jp/naid/110007227594/
書誌情報 研究技術計画
en : The journal of science policy and research management

巻 23, 号 4, p. 351-362, 発行日 2009-05-25
出版者
出版者 研究・技術計画学会
ISSN
収録物識別子タイプ ISSN
収録物識別子 09147020
権利
権利情報 研究・技術計画学会
関連サイト
識別子タイプ URI
関連識別子 http://ci.nii.ac.jp/naid/110007227594/
関連名称 CiNii
著者版フラグ
出版タイプ VoR
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