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小地域計量経済モデルの構造
https://repo.lib.tut.ac.jp/records/1176
https://repo.lib.tut.ac.jp/records/11761a3af9a1-6425-4b94-b7d8-af6d9317ae56
| 名前 / ファイル | ライセンス | アクション |
|---|---|---|
hibarino03506 (2.7 MB)
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| Item type | 紀要論文(ELS) / Departmental Bulletin Paper(1) | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 公開日 | 2013-06-27 | |||||
| タイトル | ||||||
| タイトル | 小地域計量経済モデルの構造 | |||||
| タイトル | ||||||
| タイトル | The Structure of Small-size regional Econometric Model - The Case of Mitaka city in Tokyo - | |||||
| 言語 | en | |||||
| 言語 | ||||||
| 言語 | jpn | |||||
| 資源タイプ | ||||||
| 資源タイプ識別子 | http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501 | |||||
| 資源タイプ | departmental bulletin paper | |||||
| ページ属性 | ||||||
| 内容記述タイプ | Other | |||||
| 内容記述 | P(論文) | |||||
| 論文名よみ | ||||||
| その他のタイトル | ショウチイキ ケイリョウ ケイザイ モデル ノ コウゾウ | |||||
| 著者 |
山口, 誠
× 山口, 誠× Yamaguchi, Makoto |
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| 著者名よみ |
ヤマグチ, マコト
× ヤマグチ, マコト |
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| 著者所属(日) | ||||||
| 値 | 豊橋技術科学大学 | |||||
| 著者所属(英) | ||||||
| 言語 | en | |||||
| 値 | Toyohashi University of Technology | |||||
| 抄録(英) | ||||||
| 内容記述タイプ | Other | |||||
| 内容記述 | This empirical study will present the structure of a macroscopic econometric forecasting model for the Mitaka city, which is a western suburb of the Tokyo Central Business District（ CBD）. For a long time, macro econometric models have been used for helping to formulate the socio-economic policy of every country in the world including Japan. However there are relatively few cases of using a regional econometric model for the city planning of the small town. One obvious explanation expense and time required for development and maintenance of these models that do existed, the application of an econometric model to the ten-year plan of Mitaka city is an excellent example. Econometric models have already been used five times in long-term city planning to calculate the basic trends of Mitaka city. The new model of Mitaka （version seven） will be estimated with annual data for a 1971-2007 sample period. The observed period is 1969-2009. The author, for the purposes of this study, will divide Mitaka into four districts to analyze population densities and land places. The model Ⅶ contains six blocks of equations. This model consists of fifty-seven equations. Forty-one stochastic equations are estimated and sixteen are definitions. This model, which I constructed, is also adopted as the official model of Mitaka city government. After the final test and other shock tests I will use this model to predict three cases of conditional forecast up to 2035, based on assumed reasonable trends of Japan and the CBD of Tokyo. |
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| 雑誌書誌ID | ||||||
| 収録物識別子タイプ | NCID | |||||
| 収録物識別子 | AN00208381 | |||||
| 書誌情報 |
雲雀野 en : The Lark Hill 巻 35, p. 25-46, 発行日 2013-03-31 |
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