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  1. 紀要論文 雲雀野
  2. 第35号 (2013年)

小地域計量経済モデルの構造

https://repo.lib.tut.ac.jp/records/1176
https://repo.lib.tut.ac.jp/records/1176
1a3af9a1-6425-4b94-b7d8-af6d9317ae56
名前 / ファイル ライセンス アクション
hibarino03506.pdf hibarino03506 (2.7 MB)
license.icon
Item type 紀要論文(ELS) / Departmental Bulletin Paper(1)
公開日 2013-06-27
タイトル
タイトル 小地域計量経済モデルの構造
タイトル
言語 en
タイトル The Structure of Small-size regional Econometric Model - The Case of Mitaka city in Tokyo -
言語
言語 jpn
資源タイプ
資源タイプ departmental bulletin paper
ページ属性
内容記述 P(論文)
論文名よみ
その他のタイトル ショウチイキ ケイリョウ ケイザイ モデル ノ コウゾウ
著者 山口, 誠

× 山口, 誠

WEKO 442

山口, 誠

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Yamaguchi, Makoto

× Yamaguchi, Makoto

WEKO 444

en Yamaguchi, Makoto

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著者名よみ ヤマグチ, マコト

× ヤマグチ, マコト

WEKO 443

ヤマグチ, マコト

Search repository
著者所属(日)
豊橋技術科学大学
著者所属(英)
en
Toyohashi University of Technology
抄録(英)
内容記述 This empirical study will present the structure of a macroscopic econometric
forecasting model for the Mitaka city, which is a western suburb of the Tokyo Central
Business District( CBD).
 For a long time, macro econometric models have been used for helping to formulate
the socio-economic policy of every country in the world including Japan. However
there are relatively few cases of using a regional econometric model for the city
planning of the small town. One obvious explanation expense and time required for
development and maintenance of these models that do existed, the application of an
econometric model to the ten-year plan of Mitaka city is an excellent example.
 Econometric models have already been used five times in long-term city planning to
calculate the basic trends of Mitaka city. The new model of Mitaka (version seven)
will be estimated with annual data for a 1971-2007 sample period. The observed period
is 1969-2009. The author, for the purposes of this study, will divide Mitaka into four
districts to analyze population densities and land places. The model Ⅶ contains six
blocks of equations. This model consists of fifty-seven equations. Forty-one stochastic
equations are estimated and sixteen are definitions. This model, which I constructed,
is also adopted as the official model of Mitaka city government.
 After the final test and other shock tests I will use this model to predict three cases
of conditional forecast up to 2035, based on assumed reasonable trends of Japan and
the CBD of Tokyo.
雑誌書誌ID
収録物識別子タイプ NCID
収録物識別子 AN00208381
書誌情報 雲雀野
en : The Lark Hill

巻 35, p. 25-46, 発行日 2013-03-31
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